RefE-328

Entered

Figures2 min · 442 words

Working paper

Franco-Nevada Beats by $0.12 as EPS Hits $1.89, Revenue Up 12.6%

Franco-Nevada posted $1.89 EPS, beating estimates by $0.12, with revenue up 12.6% and a 63.79% net margin — but shares fell $7.38 to $248.41.

Exhibit AFranco-Nevada (NYSE:FNV) Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By $0.12 EPS
Franco-Nevada (NYSE:FNV) Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By $0.12 EPS — Lachlan / unsplash

Franco-Nevada (NYSE:FNV) earned $1.89 per share in its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.77 by $0.12, according to Zacks. That's a sharp acceleration from the $1.43 EPS the company posted in the same quarter a year ago — a jump of roughly 32%.

Revenue climbed 12.6% year over year. The Toronto-based basic materials company also posted the kind of profitability metrics most operators can only envy: an 18.58% return on equity (net income as a share of shareholder equity) and a net margin of 63.79% (profit kept from every dollar of revenue).

How did the stock react?

Despite the beat, shares traded down $7.38 on Wednesday, closing at $248.41. Volume came in at 758,076 shares, below the average of 818,413.

The valuation and technical picture:

  • Market cap: $47.92 billion
  • P/E ratio: 32.47; PEG ratio: 3.06
  • Beta: 0.34 (low sensitivity to broad market swings)
  • 52-week range: $188.47 to $285.67
  • 50-day moving average: $248.62; 200-day average: $240.11

In short, the stock sits almost exactly on its 50-day average — the sell-off brought it right back to trend.

What are analysts saying?

The research desk has been busy. Royal Bank of Canada raised its price objective from $285.00 to $300.00 and kept an "outperform" rating on Wednesday, September 16. Scotiabank moved the other way, cutting its target from $290.00 to $274.00 with a "sector perform" rating on Tuesday, July 14.

Zacks Research upgraded the shares from "strong sell" to "hold" on Tuesday, August 11, and Weiss Ratings nudged its rating up from "buy (b)" to "buy (b+)" on Monday.

The aggregate view: ten analysts rate FNV a Buy, four a Hold. MarketBeat.com puts the consensus at "Moderate Buy" with an average target price of $275.30 — about 11% above Wednesday's close.

Why does the business model matter here?

Franco-Nevada doesn't run mines. Instead, it finances mining and energy companies in exchange for royalties, streams (agreements to buy future production at a preset price) and other interests in output. That structure explains the eye-catching 63.79% net margin — it collects revenue shares without carrying operators' cost burdens.

The portfolio centers on gold and other precious metals, with additional interests in other minerals, oil and gas. Counterparties span North and South America, Africa, Australia and Europe.

For CFOs, the takeaway is simple: a royalty model delivered a 32% EPS jump and a double-digit revenue gain, yet the market still marked the stock down $7.38 on the day.

Audit trail

  1. Franco-Nevada reported Q4-quarter EPS of $1.89 vs. $1.77 consensus, a $0.12 beat
  2. Revenue rose 12.6% year over year; net margin hit 63.79%
  3. Shares fell $7.38 to $248.41 on volume of 758,076
  4. RBC raised its target to $300.00; consensus average target is $275.30
  5. Ten analysts rate FNV a Buy, four a Hold (Moderate Buy consensus)

via dailypolitical.com (Source)

Filed under

  • franco-nevada
  • eps
  • revenue-growth
  • royalty-model
  • precious-metals
Share this article:

More from Grace Kim

Grace Kim

Show full bio

Staff writer covering people, launches and day-to-day practice in corporate finance and the leaders who run it at CFO Observer.

169 articles

Cross-references

« Previous articleNext article »