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Terumo Misses EPS Estimates by $0.06 as Shares Slide 7%

Terumo posted a quarterly loss of $0.07 per share against a $0.01 consensus, and the stock fell 7% to $14.68 — yet analysts hold a Strong Buy average rating.

Exhibit ATerumo (OTCMKTS:TRUMY) Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By $0.06 EPS
Terumo (OTCMKTS:TRUMY) Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By $0.06 EPS — 652234 / pixabay

Terumo reported a loss of $0.07 per share for the quarter, missing the analysts' consensus estimate of a $0.01 loss by $0.06, according to Zacks. The Japanese medical technology company released the figures on Thursday. The miss came despite fundamentals that look, on paper, stable: a net margin of 13.83% and a return on equity of 10.44%. A profitable margin paired with a negative per-share result is a discrepancy the release does not explain, and investors should ask why before drawing conclusions.

The market did not wait for explanations. Shares of Terumo, trading over the counter under the ticker TRUMY, fell $1.10 on Thursday to close at $14.68 — a decline of 7.0%. Trading volume reached 40,096 shares, far below the average of 233,838. Thin volume on a sharp move cuts both ways: it magnifies the percentage drop, and it says little about what larger holders would pay to exit.

What do the balance-sheet numbers show?

The headline move sits against a broadly defensive profile:

  • Market capitalisation: $21.65 billion
  • Price-to-earnings ratio: 20.68
  • Beta: 0.82, below the market's volatility
  • 52-week range: $12.08 low, $16.81 high
  • 50-day moving average: $14.83; 200-day moving average: $14.08
  • Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.13
  • Current ratio: 2.19; quick ratio: 1.37

Read plainly, Terumo carries little leverage, holds ample short-term liquidity, and trades roughly where it has traded all year. The 7% drop pulled the stock below its 50-day average but kept it above its 200-day line. In plain words, Thursday's fall broke a short-term trend, not a long-term one.

Why are analysts still bullish?

Two research houses upgraded the stock in the months before the miss. Nomura raised Terumo from a hold rating to a strong-buy rating in a report on Thursday, July 30. Zacks Research followed with the same upgrade, from hold to strong-buy, in a note on Tuesday, October 13. Two analysts now rate the stock a Strong Buy, and MarketBeat.com records an average rating of Strong Buy.

The pattern deserves scrutiny. Both upgrades landed before the earnings release, and neither house has, in the material available, revised its view after the $0.06 shortfall. An average rating of Strong Buy standing alongside a 7% single-day decline signals that analysts and the market read the same numbers differently — one of those readings will prove wrong.

What does Terumo actually do?

Terumo Corporation, founded in 1921 and based in Japan, began by producing clinical thermometers. It has since expanded across three businesses: cardiovascular and vascular products such as catheter-based devices for heart and vascular conditions; medical care products including infusion and injection devices; and blood and cell technologies used to collect, process and manage blood and cellular therapies. The company sells to hospitals, clinics and other healthcare providers.

A century-old device maker with a 13.83% net margin does not become a broken business in one quarter. But the gap between the consensus loss of $0.01 and the reported $0.07 loss, combined with the unexplained divergence between margin and per-share result, leaves the burden of proof with the company's next set of figures.

Audit trail

  1. Terumo reported a quarterly loss of $0.07 per share, missing the $0.01 consensus by $0.06
  2. Shares fell 7.0% to $14.68 on volume of 40,096, versus an average of 233,838
  3. Net margin was 13.83% and return on equity 10.44%
  4. Nomura upgraded to strong-buy on July 30; Zacks Research did the same on October 13
  5. Market cap stands at $21.65 billion with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13

via dailypolitical.com (Source)

Filed under

  • terumo
  • earnings-miss
  • eps
  • medical-technology
  • analyst-ratings
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News editor covering companies, deals and strategy in corporate finance and the leaders who run it at CFO Observer.

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